P4 Unit 4 Essay

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Unit 4 Assignment November 15, 2013 According to the current state of the economy according to its location in the business cycle, I would have to conclude that we are sitting in the recovery cycle. We are recovering from the recent government shut down. The US is at a low-risk for a recession. The US is growing, but not by much. The real GDP is increasing at about 2% yearly. I predict that our economy will continue to move forward. The US will continue to grow; slowly but surely. It’s going to take longer than days, weeks, and months. It’s going to take a few years before anything extremely good happens for the economy. That is if nothing bad happens in these next few years. I predict that by 2017 the initial jobless claims will drop…show more content…
At the beginning of 2013 it was at 7.9. In 2012 we started at 8.3% and ended at 7.8%. I’m predicting that the end of 2013 will be in between 7.3%-7.1%. When the government shut down in October of 2013, people expected it to affect the economic growth dramatically. They were wrong, the government hasn’t affected the economic growth nearly as much as people predicted. I as well predicted it to affect the economic growth, but I was wrong. By the end of 2013, I expect the economy to slowly grow. The only thing that was really affected by the shutdown was the unemployment rate. It rose from 7.2% to 7.3%. Most people gave up looking for jobs after the public announcement of the shutdown. The housing market was tight in the first six months of 2013. The sales activity has and will continue to escalate. The pricing of houses will continue to rise as well. The housing market rose 12% from April of 2012 until April of 2013. This will continue to rise another 6% by the end of 2013. Some of the least affordable places to buy a home as of 2013 are San Francisco (CA), Los Angeles (CA), Santa Ana (CA), New York, and San Jose (CA). The most affordable places to buy a home at this time are Indianapolis (IN), Syracuse (NY), Youngstown (OH), Harrisburg (PA), and Buffalo
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