Jeannine Aversa Summary

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The author of this article, Jeannine Aversa, is stating that key economic indicators point to the likelihood of a recession. Aversa supports her thoughts by noting the real GDP; “crawled at a 1.3 percent pace in the opening quarter of 2007…even weaker than the sluggish 2.5 percent rate in the closing quarter of last year.” The author suggests the main cause of the economic slowdown is due to “the housing slump.” Consumer expenditures are driving the economy, but Aversa worries about a “fallout from risky mortgages and rising energy prices.” Uncertainty of the Feds actions concerning the interest rates is leading to lower investment spending. The author also states that the Feds decision on raising or lowering the interest is due to the…show more content…
The author’s main theory is that the economy is headed for a recession. The text book defines fiscal policy as: Changes in government spending and tax collections designed to achieve a full-employment and non inflationary domestic output. Government spending is understated and slightly overlooked in the article. The author only hints of the fact that federal government spending on defense is down. “Another negative factor was a 6.6 percent drop, on an annualized basis, in federal defense spending.” She supports that the decrease in GDP is directly related to the decrease in government spending g which proves how fiscal policy can affect overall economic growth. Monetary policy can be defined as: A central banks changing of the money supply to influence interest rates and assist the economy in achieving price stability, full employment, and economic growth. The article discusses how decline in economic growth can in part be due to uncertainty of interest rates which is directly controlled by the Federal Reserve. The author supports this idea by showing that uncertainty of interest rates has affected business investments and the slowing of the housing
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