The Neorealist Theory Of History Applied

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THE NEO REALIST THEORY OF HISTORY APPLIED Predictive power is the goal of the theory in the historical case. The attempt to hide or differentiate only creates unit level differences in behavior but the structure of great power and their positions remain the same. Whenever a dominant power emerges at times producing a “Unipolar System”, tight systemic constraints lead the weaker states to come together to balance against that power and eligible states become great powers in response. Christopher Layne’s article about the “The Unipolar Illusion” sets out to demonstrate the correctness and importance of a particular prediction of realism. The rise of England and Habsburg Austria set the international systems transformation from unipolarity to multipolarity. Because the French dominance threatened their security, England and Austria responded by: i) Organizing the Grand Alliances in the nine year war and sought to contain France and counter its power. ii) Reorganizing themselves administratively, militarily and economically to acquire greater power capabilities than France. In the same fashion Germany in 1860-1910 and the united States and Japan in a slightly different yet equally determined way became great powers in response to Britain’s hegemony. These historical evidences strongly supports that unipolar moments cause geopolitical backlashes that lead to multipolarity. One theory of the wars origin that is not plausible is the one presented by Layne (non realist theory) that it was the Anglo-Austrian response to French hegemony for preserving the European balance of power. But there was another contest in Europe in the 1600s, not mentioned by Layne, was a series of war involving Russia, Sweden, Denmark, Poland and other states and the Empire, over territorial and commercial domination of the Baltic region. The outcome of these wars was
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