Discuss the Strengths and Weaknesses of the Dtm

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Discuss the strengths and weaknesses of the DTM The DTM was first introduced by Warren Thompson in 1929, and was used to differentiate between countries based on population and wealth. He studied changes in wealthy countries (Europe and USA) and used his findings to apply the model for all countries, and stated that a country would develop if they industrialised. However in some cases this is wrong, as many countries have gone through stages of the DTM without industrialising, for reasons such as governmental policies, as shown by the massive decrease in birth rate in china due to the one child policy. Medical advancements and aid show this as well; many African countries have decreased population due to this. Also the DTM doesn’t take into account smaller differences in population, wealth etc. within a country itself. Some countries, for example China, have a major difference in wealth and population size and growth in urban areas (east coast) compared to more rural areas further inland. On the other hand there are some strengths to the DTM. It shows well the transition of wealthy industrialised countries such as the UK and Italy, and it is also dynamic; it shows changes through time. Despite these strengths, the DTM is mainly flawed. It is based on events from the past, and a fifth stage had to be added, as some countries, mainly eastern European, have gone past the fourth stage, as originally there was no fifth stage as no country at the time had come to that point in development. Additionally the DTM has no time scale; some countries took more than two centuries to reach stages 4 and 5, but other countries, such as South Korea and Brazil and taken a lot less time due to their rapid industrialisation. For me the biggest weakness is that it does not take into account migration rates of countries. In the UK, even though it is in stage 4, meaning that population
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