Nike Valuation Essay

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Nike DCF Valuation | Paul Candland & Lynn Chang | | 08/12/2013 Financial Management & Valuation | | JUST DO IT. Nike DCF Valuation Paul Candland & Lynn Chang Recommendation Nike has a very strong base in the US as well as in the international market. It has a high growth rate for a company if its size; the major growth driver is its international revenue from growing economies. It has a very strong brand name worldwide represented by its “swoosh” sign and endorsed by many iconic athletes. The brand presence is especially among younger generations. The sportswear company has a variety of products and a depth of brands that attracts customers of all age groups and different types of sports performances. We believe that as of May 31st, 2013, the stock of Nike was undervalued at $61.66. Given our projections of the future of Nike, it is extremely unlikely that the intrinsic value of equity is lower than market value. We ran simulations of 5,000 possible outcomes using @Risk with variable values of near-term sales growth, near-term EBIT margin, and discount rate. The test results indicate that the probability of the intrinsic value being less than market value is less than .25. Given the result of the DCF analysis, we recommend our client to “Just BUY It”. DCF Valuation Variables INPUT BOX | | | | | | | | | Discount Rate (WACC) | 7.4% | | | | | | | Near-term sales growth 2014 | 8.5% | | | | | | | Near-term sales growth 2015 | 8.5% | | | | | | | Terminal Sales & Cash Flow growth | 3.5% | | | | | | | Near-term EBIT margin 2014 | 13.0% | | | | | | | Near-term EBIT margin 2015 | 13.0% | | | | | | | EBIT margin - Terminal | 13.0% | | | | | | | est. Value of NKE Equity at 5/31/2013 | $ 57,467 | | | | | | | # shares outstanding at

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