As the demand for one product decreases it can cause a chain reaction lowering the demand for products needed to produce the first product. This cycle will continue until the demand for manufactures goods increased and its citizen’s put more capital back into the economy. This theory is true for any reason that people stop buying goods, if the demand goes down so does the supply and the money spent on the supply. In effort to stabilize an economy that is stuck in the decreasing demand and supply cycle the government should increase spending and find ways to increase individual spending across the country. As the capital is put back into the economy the demand for supplies will go up.
When companies can produce more due to demand they are able to hire more workers, which can lower the unemployment rate. Lowering the unemployment rate will provide more income tax revenue to the government and fewer citizens taking unemployment benefits. Conversely, when exports decrease consumers pay less money for products causing domestic profits to decline and companies are unable to maintain or increase their workforce causing the unemployment rate to
This greater demand leads to increases in both output and prices. The degree to which higher demand increases output and prices depend, in turn, on the state of the business cycle. If the economy is in recession, with unused productive capacity and unemployed workers, then increases in demand will lead mostly to more output without changing the price level. If the economy is at full employment, by contrast, a fiscal expansion will have more effect on prices and less impact on total output. According to the MPR, the unemployment rate was projected to continue to decline toward its longer-run normal level over the projection period (Monetary Policy Report,
As stated in extract 1, it tells us that the goods we import are not made in the UK and so makes it impossible to replace the imports, therefore meaning that we still have to import goods, despite the high prices due to the low exchange rate of sterling. This is partnered with the fact that some suppliers (shown in extract 1) have agreed long term supply contract with cheaper overseas suppliers before the depreciation of the sterling and so they are now paying high prices. This may mean that these suppliers may have to increase the prices of these goods, therefore leading to cost push inflation due to trying to maintain a decent profit margin in the hope the demand for the good does not drop dramatically. However, it is stated that there still may be a large price differential with countries such as China and India, even after sterling's depreciation. On the other hand however, as stated in extract 1, line 8, volume of good imported has also increased by 16% and inflation has continued well above target.
When the demand for U.S. dollars increases, the value of the dollar will increase or appreciate (Stone 2008, pp. 685). As a result, U.S. products become more expensive for foriegners causing a reduction in exports and increasing imports. This not only effects the U.S. economy, but also affects the economies in other countries. Monetary policies influence and are influenced by international developments, including exchange rates, and based on these market conditions the U.S. government can make strategic changes to these policies to maintain the country’s economic stability (full employment, stable growth and price stability).
However, pensioners will be hit hard because the extra income they earn from saving will have dramatically reduced, making them worse off. On the other hand, savers may leave the pound for better interest rates in other countries (hot money), causing a fall in the demand for the pound. As a result the value of the pound will fall, making exports cheaper and there will be an injection of net exports. In conclusion, the impact of loose monetary policy will be beneficial to the economy because extra consumption and investment will cause AD to increase which will increase economic growth. However, it takes a long time for changes in interest rates to feed through to consumption and investment and by then the economy may have gotten worse.
Another influence is what they hold in a current account could be considered a deficit which means the country is spending more on foreign trade than it is receiving. This creates a supply of their own currency than a demand for its products. According to our text, Mankiw, (2007) 1. Consumers are wealthier, which stimulates the demand for consumption goods. 2.
Economic costs of inflation- Inflations economic costs would include damage to competitiveness as high inflation could cause spiralling price multiplier effect; as prices go up workers would demand higher wages so increasing business costs and another round of price rises to maintain business profits- making exports for expensive, thus reducing the demand for them causing a decrease and AD domestically. Additionally this may lead to unemployment as more costs to the firm i.e. menu costs. Change in inflation could also cause uncertainty to consumers/businesses to spend and invest as they don’t know what the future holds, this can decrease confidence in the market and potentially, in the longer term, cause and reduction in AD. Economic costs of deflation- deflation has proved to have several economic costs, the main cost is that it encourages differed expenditure where people’s expectations change and they delay spending in the hope of getting a better deal.
These policies might be more in the interest of MNCs and the developed countries rather than the developing countries. 9. People in developed countries are beginning to suffer from “aid weariness” and think that the problems in their own economies may be more important than in others so this may start to reduce the flows of aid. 10. Loan repayments on financial aid may lead to massive problems of indebtedness for developing
Recession- The recession is an opposite of boom stage. The unemployment increase, most of firms are losing confidence and stops invest or expand. They may change their planning and started to survive. The customers are likely to save money then spend and the percentages of loans are high and may increase. Individuals are losing jobs and the government have to spend more money of benefits.